'Oh, so that's who Richard Morris is..." Lord Hattersley on The Daily Politics

'An influential activist' - The Guardian

'Iain Dale, without the self loathing' - Matthew Fox in The New Statesman

'
You are a tinker...' - Tim Farron

Friday 27 July 2012

All the cabinet reshuffle speculation in one place. There's a lot of it...


In the latest cabinet reshuffle speculation, I see it’s being touted that Baroness Warsi  may be moved from Chairman of the Conservative Party into the International Development role.

And it’s inspired me to keep track of who is being touted for which post in the cabinet.

So going forward I will publish this occasional list of names I have seen in frames in the mainstream press and TV (and on the more credible blogs) for cabinet jobs. I have gone back to March. If I have heard the current incumbent is safe I will also add their name, together with all the names of folk I have heard may replace them. If I have heard nothing about the role – I will leave it blank. I am excluding naked guesswork (such as my own earlier effort)

No doubt the list of names will steadily grow over coming months… and do feel free to alert me to any speculation I miss.

Prime Minister

David Cameron

Deputy PM

Nick Clegg

Chancellor of the Exchequer

George Osborne
Vince Cable
William Hague
John Redwood
Philip Hammond
Michael Gove
Theresa May

Foreign Secretary

William Hague
George Osborne

Home Secretary

Theresa May
Michael Gove
Chris Grayling

Education

Michael Gove
Liz Truss

Health

Andrew Lansley
Ken Clarke
Jeremy Hunt
David Laws

Chief Secretary

Justice

Nick Herbert
Theresa May
Theresa Villiers

Scottish Secretary

Jo Swinson
Alastair Carmichael


Welsh Secretary

Cheryl Gillan
David Jones


Northern Ireland


Business

Andrew Mitchell
David Laws
Danny Alexander

Environment

Baroness Warsi
Maria Miller

Energy

Ed Davey

House of Lords

Lord Howard

Minister without Portfolio (Chair of Tory Party)

Grant Shapps
Michael Fallon
Michael Gove
Jeremy Hunt
Andrew Mitchell

Defence

Philip Hammond

Work & Pensions

Iain Duncan Smith

Communities

Transport

Andrew Mitchell
Theresa Villiers
Chris Grayling

International Development

Baroness Warsi

DCMS

Jeremy Hunt
Justine Greening


And while we’re at it – more speculation. People I have seen tipped to be leave (there’s a major surprise in there but I have read it so feel I must be comprehensive) or be promoted to the cabinet.

Tipped to leave

Ken Clarke
Caroline Spelman
Jeremy Hunt
Baroness Warsi
Andrew Lansley
Vince Cable (that’s the surprise)
Cheryl Gillan


Tipped to be Promoted

Grant Shapps
Maria Miller
Chris Grayling
David Laws
Jo Swinson
Alistair Carmichael
Greg Clark
Lynn Featherstone
Andrea Leadsom
Margot James
Anna Soubry
Claire Perry
Nicky Morgan
Harriet Baldwin
Theresa Villiers
Mark Harper


I’ll update these lists from time to time…

And some observations:
No one really knows anything
Some posts are under particular scrutiny  - Chancellor, Tory Chairman, Health
Some names come up over and over again (both in , out or moved) – Warsi, Clarke, Hunt, Lansley
There are a  lot of potential Tory women on the promotions list
Lib Dem movement, or at least speculation about it, is more widespread than you think – Laws, Swinson, Carmichael. Even Vince – where he is often seen as potentially stepping down for a leadership bid (the first reference of this I found came, not last Sunday, but last month).




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